Forecasting: Bloomberg’s “The Big Hack”

Measuring the uncertainties of headline cybersecurity journalism

From Bloomberg: “The Big Hack

Let’s build a scenario we can create forecasts against.

Should we care?

The conditions in this scenario.

Will the supply chain server hardware attacks described in the Bloomberg article be confirmed by Jan 1 2020?

A forecast of “about even” odds that attacks will be confirmed.

Our adorable panelists

What happens next?

Writing about risk, security, and startups.